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KRUGMAN MAULS CUTE HELPLESS DOG
In thinking further about Paul Krugman's
column in
Friday's New York Times, I've come to realize something about it
that speaks volumes about the way the media handles crises of all kinds, even
when there's no slanted political agenda: they exaggerate. It's not
enough to write "man bites dog." They have to write "man mauls cute helpless
dog."
Krugman wrote Friday,
"In spring 2001 the lights were going out all over California. There were
blackouts and brownouts, and the price of electricity was soaring."
I live and work in California, and did so during the spring of 2001. I
did not experience a single power interruption of any kind at either my San
Francisco office, nor my home in the suburbs around Palo Alto. I
can't remember talking to a single Californian who personally experienced a
blackout or a brownout.
I'm not saying nothing at all happened. But I assure you that no cute
helpless dog was mauled.
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 8:22 PM |
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MORGENSON INVENTS ANOTHER SCANDALE
Here's how kvetchin' Gretchen Morgenson slants the facts -- okay,
lies -- in order to bring a little excitement and scandale to
a plain-vanilla
business story in today's New York Times. This isn't her
column, by the way -- this is supposed to be straight news.
"An influential adviser to institutional investors is urging its clients to
oppose the re-election of the directors of
Texas Instruments, including Thomas J. Engibous, the company's chairman
and chief executive.
"The adviser, Institutional Shareholder Services of Rockville, Md., is angered
by the recent disclosure that the Texas Instruments board adopted a costly
stock option plan without obtaining shareholders' approval. It is recommending
that stockholders withhold their votes for the eight directors who can stand
for re-election."
It turns out at Institutional Shareholder Services believes that
Texas Instruments ought to seek shareholder approval even though proposed
new NYSE and SEC rules mandating that have yet to be finalized,
approved or go into effect. It's one thing to argue that options plans ought to
be approved by shareholders; but it's absurd to criticize a company simply for
not following rules that don't even exist yet. But be that as it may, let's
stick to Morgenson's slanted coverage.
First, ISS isn't "urging its clients" to do anything. ISS doesn't "urge"
anything -- I know that, because during many years when I was responsible for
the investment of hundreds of billions of dollars at one of the world's largest
investment managers, I was a client of ISS, and I know exactly what they do and
what they don't do. All they do is make recommendations for how investors should
vote their proxies -- thousands upon thousands of them every year.
Second, there's no reason whatsoever given in the story, or anywhere else
that I can find, to suggest that ISS is "angered," or feels any other particular
emotion about this or anything else. ISS simply has a set of guidelines for what
they consider good corporate governance in the interest of shareholders, and this
particular proposal at TI violates the guidelines. It's nothing to get "angered"
about. Nobody's "angered."
Don't you think if ISS were "urging its clients" and if ISS were "angered"
that there'd be at least some mention of the Texas Instruments matter on
ISS's website? There's not. The only
place you'll find it is in the fevered imagination of kvetchin' Gretchen. And on
the pages of America's "newspaper of record." Everywhere else this is just a
moderately interesting plain-vanilla business story.
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 3:16 PM |
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"SHOCKING SPEED... AWESOMELY WRONG..."
Has Paul Krugman finally relented in his savage campaign of Bush-bashing? His
New York Times
column today only mentioned the President's name once! No such luck -- it's
just that this time Krugman is beating up on Vice President Richard Cheney
instead.
The particular news hook that Krugman has grabbed onto as his excuse for
pillorying the veep is the report released this week by the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission which found that energy companies manipulated the
electricity market during California's power crisis in 2001. Krugman -- whose
knees instantly jerk toward blaming any and all problems on the corruption of
corporations and plutocrats -- says, "...yes, I am patting myself on the back for
getting it right."
But according to Krugman, Cheney and his National Energy Policy Development
Group didn't get it right. That's putting it mildly. Here's how Krugman
puts it:
"They were supremely confident — and yet with shocking speed everything
they had said was proved awesomely wrong."
Get it? Look carefully at the choice of words -- shocking
speed... awesomely wrong... Shock and awe! That's no
coincidence -- Krugman wants you to see the "disturbing parallels" between the
Bush administration's lack of credibility in energy policy and the war on Iraq.
"Right now, pundits are wondering how Mr. Cheney — who confidently
predicted that our soldiers would be 'greeted as liberators' — could have been
so mistaken."
Tom Maguire on his
Just One Minute blog went back to
the transcript of
Cheney's Meet the Press interview with Tim Russert a week ago Sunday, and finds
it impossible to reconcile Cheney's nuanced appraisal of the prospects of war
with Krugman's characterization of it as a "confident prediction" that is now
"so mistaken."
But let's take a look for ourselves at
the report
of Cheney's NEPD Group. Was it "supremely confident"? Hardly -- it reads
with about the same bland bureaucratic self-assurance as any other government
task force report, and offers up the usual broad list of findings and
recommendations designed to please just about everybody. Krugman condenses it
as:
"...in brief, that the energy crisis was a long- term problem caused by
meddling bureaucrats and pesky environmentalists, who weren't letting big
companies do what needed to be done. The solution? Scrap environmental rules,
and give the energy industry multibillion-dollar subsidies."
The prime recommendation of the report -- which President Bush acted upon in
an
Executive Order the very day after the report was released -- was to require
"meddling bureaucrats" to prepare a statement of the "energy effects" of new
regulations. Modest exploitation of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge was
recommended -- hardly "scrapping environmental rules." And the so-called
"multibillion-dollar subsidies" to the energy industry were in the form of
grants for the just the kind of environmentally friendly alternative energy
research that liberals love -- perhaps Professor Krugman's objection is that he
fears the research would be done by corporations, not universities.
For Krugman, the heart of what's wrong with the task force report is that it
didn't explain the California energy crisis entirely as the result of market
manipulation. He claims that's exactly what last week's FERC report does:
"But now we have a new report from the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission, which until now has discounted claims of market manipulation. No
more: the new report concludes that market manipulation was pervasive, and
offers a mountain of direct evidence, including phone conversations, e-mail
and memos. There's no longer any doubt: California's power shortages were
largely artificial, created by energy companies to drive up prices and
profits."
As I pointed out
earlier today, this claim by Krugman is
substantially false. In Krugman's words, it is "awesomely wrong." And he might
say that I exposed it "with shocking speed." Within minutes of Krugman's column
being posted on the Times website in the wee hours Friday morning, I had
download the FERC
report for myself and read the second and third sentences of its summary:
"Staff concludes that supply-demand imbalance, flawed market design and
inconsistent rules made possible significant market manipulation as delineated
in final investigation report. Without underlying market dysfunction, attempts
to manipulate the market would not be successful."
John Weidner sums the situation up a bit more bluntly on
his blog, Random Jottings:
"The 'perfect storm' of events and circumstances that led to the shortages
included a nationwide rise in natural gas prices over which the state had no
control, a three-year drought that reduced hydroelectric generation in
California by over 20% during the late 1990s, and an explosion in August 2000
in the El Paso pipeline that carries natural gas from Texas to southern
California. All of these factors led to increased wholesale costs of gas-fired
electricity. However, under the California regulations these higher wholesale
prices could not be passed on to consumers. So while electricity suppliers
were going bankrupt, consumers were turning on the juice as if nothing was
amiss. This not the way markets are supposed to work. Meanwhile the boob in
the governor's office was doing his best to muddy the waters by finding
scapegoats, mostly out of state suppliers, and avoiding blame himself."
So maybe Cheney's task force got it wrong by overlooking market manipulation
entirely -- but Krugman's just plain wrong to blame manipulation entirely -- and
he's lying to the extent that he claims the FERC report is doing that. And
Robert Musil points out on
Man Without Qualities another way that Krugman has gotten it
wrong all along. Musil notes that
a year ago Krugman
wrote in his Times column,
"The great risk now is that this will be treated purely as an Enron story.
That's wrong; Enron was mainly a trader rather than a power producer, and as
such could have only limited impact on electricity prices. The bigger story
involves market manipulation by a number of producers."
But the FERC report highlights Enron as manipulator-in-chief, and notes that
its role as a trader made it an even more effective manipulator:
"EnronOnline gave Enron knowledge of market conditions unavailable to its
competitors. This informational trading advantage from EOL was highly
lucrative for Enron, which could absorb losses in physical markets because of
its profits in financial markets. Enron manipulated thinly traded physical
markets to profit in financial markets. Staff estimates Enron’s profits from
EOL exceeded $500 million in 2000 and 2001. EOL was a primary driver of wash trading, which created a false sense of liquidity, which can cause
artificial volatility and distorted prices."
Why was Krugman letting Enron off the hook last year? And why, in today's
screed, did he not even mention Enron once (even Bush got mentioned once)?
Well, far be it from me to suggest any "disturbing parallels." But let's not
forget that Krugman was
paid $50 thousand
to be a member of the Enron Advisory Board -- and while a member, he
wrote a glowing
puff-piece on
Enron for Fortune magazine. Oh sure, he's been tough on Enron
recently -- and even tougher in
accusing the Bush
administration of "crony capitalism" for its involvement with Enron
-- but he rarely mentions his own involvement.
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 4:22 PM |
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ENRON: HE WHOM KRUGMAN MUST NOT NAME
How can Paul Krugman have devoted his entire New York Times
column today
to proving that the energy crisis in California was caused by market
manipulation by greedy corporations -- without even once mentioning the name of
the numero uno manipulator: Enron?
Krugman claims that Vice President Cheney's energy task force
misdiagnosed the California crisis, while "yes, I am patting myself on the back
for getting it right." But when, exactly, was Krugman "getting it right"? When
he was paid $50
thousand to be a member of the Enron Advisory Board? When he was
writing glowing
puff-pieces on Enron for Fortune magazine? Or when he was
accusing the Bush
administration of "crony capitalism" for its involvement with Enron,
without admitting his own involvement? Does he really think that by not
mentioning the name Enron in a column about energy market manipulation that no
one will remember any of that?
And does he think that, just because the Times doesn't fact-check him,
that no one else will either when he grossly misrepresents
a report released
this week by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission? Krugman says,
"...the new report concludes that market manipulation was pervasive, and
offers a mountain of direct evidence, including phone conversations, e-mail
and memos. There's no longer any doubt: California's power shortages were
largely artificial, created by energy companies to drive up prices and
profits."
But, in reality, the report says no such thing. The second and third
sentences of its executive summary say:
"Staff concludes that supply-demand imbalance, flawed market design and
inconsistent rules made possible significant market manipulation as delineated
in final investigation report. Without underlying market dysfunction, attempts
to manipulate the market would not be successful."
Well, it's going to be tough for Krugman to honestly say what was in
that report. The report was written "by order of the Commission, to determine
whether Enron Corp. or any other sellers manipulated electricity and natural gas
markets in California..." But we can't mention Enron, now can we?
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THOUGHTS ON TAX-CUTS
The Senate's surprise vote Tuesday to reduce the value of President
Bush's proposed tax-cuts by more than half has been played in the press as a
major setback for the President's agenda. But the way I see it, it's actually
great news: a tax-cut that was assumed to have zero chance just a month ago
now has a floor under it of $350 billion.
So now the real debate begins: how much more than $350 billion
will the tax-cut be? And exactly which of Bush's many proposed cuts will
survive? The debate won't just be between Democrats and Republicans,
either. The President's own party is deeply divided at a fundamental conceptual
level about the dynamics of budget cuts, tax cuts, and deficits, and the
trade-offs between them.
At the center of the debate will be the extent to which the proposed tax-cuts
will contribute to budget deficits. Will they be a deadweight loss to federal
revenues, or will the cuts stimulate enough economic growth to partially or
wholly offset any revenue losses? Tuesday the Congressional Budget Office
published
an analysis of the President's budget and tax proposals that -- for the
first time -- sought to answer that question in just those terms.
Some statements from the Bush administration have been very bold about their
answer to that question. The President said in
a
speech earlier this year that "growth will bring the added benefit of higher
revenues for the government." Vice President Cheney
said
"… the president’s package will generate new growth, it will expand the tax
base, and thus increase tax revenue to the federal government ultimately."
Those are very politically incorrect statements. In these
deficit-obsessed days the idea that tax-cuts could stimulate self-financing
economic growth -- what used to be called "supply-side economics" -- can hardly
be uttered without embarrassment. Today it seems supply-side economics is always
referred to in the media as a "discredited theory." The conventional wisdom has
it that it was responsible for the "catastrophic Reagan deficits." And
the critics never fail to remind us that the first President Bush once
dissed supply-side economics as "voodoo economics."
In its hey-day during the Reagan years, supply-side economics was embraced --
and, in the end, probably abused -- by very diverse political interests. There
were those who believed (or pretended) that it promised a fiscal perpetual
motion machine through which infinite government spending could be financed by
infinite tax-cuts. And there were those who believed (or pretended) that it
would be just fine if the tax-cuts reduced revenues -- because that would force
a bloated government to cut spending. Bruce Bartlett
has
noted that the Reagan administration itself was always scrupulously
circumspect in its supply-side claims.
Let's step back from the politics and ask one simple question -- does the idea
of supply-side economics make fundamental good sense? Or doesn't it?
I say that it does. It's so simple: tax rates that are too high can be
self-defeating, and so lowering them can increase total revenues. Bartlett tells
me that this idea can be traced all the way back to Jonathan Swift, who
wrote in 1728 that "in the business of heavy impositions, two and two never make
more than one." He notes that economists and philosophers all the way from
Smith, Montesquieu, Say and Mill to von Mises
and Keynes wrote about the basic principle.
In the modern era, of course, no economist is more closely associated with
supply-side economics than Arthur Laffer. He embodied the idea as the
famous "Laffer curve," which illustrates that government will earn no revenues
at all if tax rates are either zero or 100%. Somewhere in between is a tax rate
at which government revenue is maximized. So when rates are too high -- too near
100% -- revenues can be increased by cutting taxes.
 |
| The Laffer Curve on a cocktail napkin, circa 1989
Collection of the author |
I spoke to Laffer last week, and his confidence in this simple idea is as
great as when he first sketched the Laffer curve on a cocktail napkin in 1974
for by Richard Cheney, who was then assistant to White House chief of staff
Donald Rumsfeld. He told me, "Prior to that it was presumed that a 10%
increase in taxes would lead to a 10% increase in revenues. That was clearly
wrong."
He's clear that the Laffer Curve itself is only "a pedagogic device designed to
explain the feedback effects" from changes in tax rates. As such, it is hard to
dispute that it is correct, at least in theory. But it doesn't say
precisely what the revenue impact of any one particular tax policy will be.
As general guidance, Laffer gave me five common-sense questions to ask, to make
an intelligent guess about whether a given tax cut is likely to lead to a
supply-side revenue increase.
- Is the existing rate very high? Can it be assumed that it has been holding
back economic activity?
- Are you are willing to wait for the incentive effects of lower rates to
take effect?
- Is there a way that people can actually change their behavior to take
advantage of the tax-cut? Can they work harder, invest more, and so on?
- Is there presently a lot of tax-evasion activity? Is the cost of that
evasion high enough so that people will stop evading when the tax is cut?
- Is there some other tax mechanism that could receive the additional
revenues? For instance, if capital gains taxes were cut would higher workers'
wages cause income tax revenues to go up?
Applying these five questions to Bush's tax-cut plan gets you a mixed bag of
answers. The elimination of the double taxation of dividends and retained
earnings would score "yes" all five ways -- but allowing an above-the-line deduction
for long-term care insurance may well score five "no's".
Overall, Laffer told me, "I love Bush's tax plan. It's great." But as the debate
moves forward now, the winning strategy for the GOP will be to stay clear about
which proposed tax cuts might pay for themselves, and which won't.
The best thing that could happen now would be for Bush administration to
"compromise" by throwing out the tax-cuts that don't pay for themselves -- the
ones that are really just another form of government spending. If what's left
are the strongly pro-growth supply-side features of Bush's plan -- such as
eliminating the double taxation of dividends and retained earnings -- the total
value tax-cuts may look smaller, but their long-term contribution to the economy
will be much, much bigger.
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 10:50 AM |
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WHO MAKES FOREIGN POLICY AT THE TIMES?
In an
editorial today the New York Times criticized the New York
Stock Exchange for revoking the press credentials of two Al Jazeera
reporters:
"The New York Stock Exchange has many useful functions, especially in
turbulent times. Making foreign policy is not one of them."
An astounding concession to capitalism, coming from the Times -- that
the NYSE has any useful function at all. But then whose "function" is it to make
foreign policy? The Times'
movie critics?
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CLEARLY KRUGMAN
I'm not going to write a National Review Online piece on
Paul Krugman's
column today
-- this particular fly didn't rise to the level of annoyance to justify a full
swat.
I've already exposed the conflict of interest implicit in a New York
Times columnist using op-ed ink to accuse a Times Company
competitor, Clear Channel Communications, of political corruption due to
its alleged sponsorship of pro-war rallies. And I will quote extensively from
several smart takes from around the web today, taking on Krugman from other
angles. There's good stuff here.
- Reader Paul Philp of Radical Results writes, via email,
that no help was needed from Clear Channel to make the Dixie Chicks pay
for their lead singer's anti-war views.
"The Dixie Chicks have a very conservative audience that was outraged by
Natalie Maines. The ex-fans of the Chicks used the Internet to organize the
protest, just like the anti-war folk and every other grass roots movement in
the world today.
"Here is a link to Free Republic where there are 55 message boards dedicated
to kickin' some serious Chick butt:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/865158/posts
"It seems like country music fans aren't Clear Channel Stepford Wives. They
have a mind of their own and they gave the Dixie Chicks a piece of it."
- Tom Maguire at Just One Minute
complains that
"Professor Krugman comes out strongly today against freedom of speech and
freedom of assembly. A big media company is engaged in an activity that is
legal, visible, disclosed, and annoying to the Professor."
- John Weidner at Random Jottings (who, I have just learned,
has been operating his own "Krugman Truth Squad" for some time now)
sees Krugman's imagining of a corporate conspiracy centered on the Bush
administration as part of an "continuing tragedy."
"We are seeing a first-rate economist self-destruct as
his partisanship becomes rabid and his dislike of anything Bush turns into
blind hatred. To some of us, his columns are reminiscent of Oscar Wilde's
'Picture of Dorian Gray' as, week after week, they reflect a growing
dementia, in this case political paranoia, that will eventually take him
over. Other Squad members see Krugman as more akin to a hapless Robert
Ludlum hero who finds that the bad guys (Republicans, the rich, corporate
interests, etc.) are everywhere and control everything. There is nowhere to
run, no place that is safe, and no one who can be trusted."
- Charles Johnson at Little Green Footballs
says "My jaw dropped last night when I read Paul Krugman’s column in the
New York Times, comparing criticism of the Dixie Chicks to Kristallnacht,"
and has a conspiracy theory of his own -- he thinks that the word
Kristallnacht appeared in early on-line editions, and was later replaced
by an ellipsis.
Thanks to reader Mara Gold for the pointer.
- David Hogberg at Cornfield Commentary
dismisses Krugman's comparison:
"I guess we now know why Krugman is a professor of economics, and not
history. When the Nazis took over Germany, German democracy was a joke,
Germany had no democratic tradition, and it had an economy that was in the
toilet. None of that applies to the U.S. (Yes, the economy is a bit
sluggish, but it’s nothing like that of the 1930s.) Sorry, but protestors in
America and other democracies pull publicity stunts to promote a cause all
the time. Heck, Krugman should take a look at his ideological brethren in
San Francisco. There are many hallmarks of a society slipping into
totalitarianism—a cheap publicity stunts isn’t one of them."
- Robert Musil at Man Without Qualities
says that Krugman's conspiracy theorizing puts him at odds with economic
theory.
"...Herr Doktorprofessor is entirely oblivious to the fact that he is
writing a column about a topic which is informed by a fairly well-developed
economic theory:
regulatory capture.
A lot of economic research has gone into analyzing what symptoms one
should look for to determine whether a
regulated business controls its regulators. But Herr Doktorprofessor
ignores
all that learning and structure to reach his unsupported conclusion that
Clear Channel has put the fix in. But it can’t be ignored. If the 'fix' is
so obviously a quid pro quo, how will other media competitors take
it? And why aren't other competitors trying to do the same thing? Further,
federal regulation and
regulatory capture works mostly through the
Congress – not the Administration. But Herr Doktorprofessor just
entirely cancels Congress out of both sides of his equation.
"Introducing Congress into the equation would expose that Herr
Doktorprofessor is also ignoring a second branch of modern
economics:
public choice theory - the branch of economic that concerns economic
choices made by democratic societies. As so often the case with this
columnist, resort to silly conspiracy charges substitutes for the hard work
of applying difficult economics. He can leave that to real geniuses like Dr.
James M. Buchanan, who won the 1986 Nobel Prize in economics for his
contributions to public choice theory. A man has to know his limitations."
- Times Watch
notes that a
story by Douglas Jehl in the Times
yesterday on pro-war rallies focused extensively on the Clear Channel
connection, and noted that the company "has been criticized by those who
contend that media companies should not engage in political advocacy." Times
Watch is right-on when it says,
"One wishes the Times was equally concerned about the largest force
behind the anti-war protests--the Stalinist organization ANSWER. The group,
led by Ramsey Clark, former attorney general turned Saddam Hussein
supporter, calls for President Bush’s impeachment on its
web site."
I noticed that Jehl took the trouble to contact Clear Channel
for a comment, and they responded that the events were "not sponsored by Clear
Channel corporate." Krugman does not mention Clear Channel's denial.
Thanks to Orrin Judd at
The Brothers Judd for the
pointer.
-
Reader Roderic H. Fabian points out
this message
posted to the discussion boards at The Motley Fool. It's not about
Krugman, but it's a fascinating glimpse into how the other members of the
liberal media have dealt with the Clear Station story.
"I was listening to a conservative talk show host named Glen
Beck this morning (WGST, AM 640 Atlanta) and he told the following story.
Beck has a nationally syndicated talk show and suggested at some point that
the people listening on the affiliate stations call their local stations and
ask them to sponsor local 'Rallies for America' as a way to show support for
our troops and as a counter to the anti-war protests that had been getting
so much media attention...
"The Chicago Tribune ran a story about this that focused on
the fact that Beck is an employee of Clear Channel Communications, a company
that has lobbyists and could be attempting to curry favor from the Bush
administration with these rallies. The person who wrote the story asked
somebody in the industry what he thought about it, and the response was that
there was no evidence that Clear Channel had anything to do with the
rallies, but if they did it would be disturbing...
"...Beck gets a call from NPR who wants to discuss the rallies with him for
a piece they will run on NPR. They tell him the interview will run 20
minutes. The interview starts with them asking him if he would describe
himself as the 'typical conservative talk radio show host'. He says he
doesn't think there is such a thing, and that as an example he voted for
Bush for President and for Lieberman as his Senator. The NPR person consults
with one of his associates and decides to pursue another line of
questioning. He then asks about the rallies and how they got started. Beck
tells him that he made a comment on his show one day, somebody called in,
and it quickly became a groundswell. He said that some affiliates got so
many calls that it temporarily shut down their switchboards.
"The NPR person then says that Clear Channel has legislation in Congress and
isn't it possible that they had something to do with all of this? Beck tells
them that Clear Channel had nothing to do with it, that he talks about
whatever he wants to and if advertisers don't like it they can stop
advertising, if Clear Channel doesn't like him they can fire him. He pointed
out that one of the rallies he participated in was in Philadelphia for an
Infinity station (I assume they carry his show). After talking with another
couple of minutes, the NPR guy tells him his denial sounds plausible and he
doesn't think they have a story after all. Beck asks him why the turnout at
these rallies isn't a story, or the innuendo in the Chicago Tribune isn't a
story. The NPR guy tells him they were pursuing the Clear Channel angle. End
of conversation, no story on NPR."
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 7:05 PM |
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UN-FACT OF THE DAY: BATTLE OF THE BABBLE
Mickey Kaus has a
good time today slicing up "David Leonhardt's
latest
gloomsaying NYT piece on the 'tangible reasons to doubt that the
United States will soon return to the heady times of the late 1990s.'"
There's a great gotcha, in which Kaus catches Leonhardt's pessimistic
econobabble contradicting Paul Krugman's pessimistic econobabble. Here's the
battle of the babble (emphasis is Kaus's):
"...according to Leonhardt:
"'the aging of the population will slow the growth of the labor force.'
"But wait. Wasn't it only five months ago that Paul Krugman was telling us
rapid labor force growth was bad, because
"'an economy that is growing, but in which employment grows more
slowly than the labor force, may be in recovery by some measures, but it
will feel like it's still in recession.'
"Yes! It was
only five months ago!"
Then Kaus adds,
"Leonhardt also sounds an alarm because
"'baby boomers, who are approaching retirement -- are likely to
increase their savings at the expense of spending.'
"But wait again! Wasn't it only a few months ago (and a few days ago, and a
few years ago) that we were warned about America's "anemic" savings rate? And
the dire possibility that boomers might not increase their saving? It
was!"
No wonder Kaus calls Leonhardt "Downhardt". And he's right that these are
examples of Easterbrook's Law: "All economic news is bad."
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:28 AM |
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CLEAR CONFLICT
Paul Krugman bashes media company Clear Channel Communications
in his New York Times
column today
for encouraging its local radio stations to sponsor pro-war demonstrations such
as not playing Dixie Chicks songs. Through a complex chain of
circumstantial evidence, he links Clear Channel to the Bush administration,
and suggests (in a way that I would think may inspire legal action by Clear Channel) that the
protests are payola offered to obtain political favors -- regulatory permission to expand their radio holdings, and move into television. And while he's at it, he
attacks Clear Channel's product ("blandness of broadcast music") and even their
corporate culture ("iron-fisted centralized control").
Since the subject is corruption, don't you think that it would have been the
right thing to do to mention that Clear Channel is a competitor of the Times'
parent, Krugman's employer: New York Times Company? The
Times Company
owns eight network-affiliated TV stations and two radio stations.
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:07 AM |
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I'M JUST A VERY BAD WIZARD
I couldn't resist sharing this... Who is that man behind the curtain?
Talk about type-casting! Here's a young and
gnomishly handsome
Paul Krugman playing
The
Wizard of Oz -- he who confessed to the Cowardly Lion, "Yes,
that's exactly so: I'm a humbug."

The background -- from
a
reminiscence by economist Irwin L. Collier, veritably overflowing
with academic bonhomie, on the occasion of awarding Krugman an honorary Ph.D. in
1998 from the
Freie Universität Berlin:
"One of the safety valves for the pent up frustration created during the
pressure cooking of young economists that takes place in the MIT graduate
program is an annual skit party at which each class and sometimes the faculty
puts together a skit, typically a parody of some well known story, to lampoon
economics and economists in general, but especially to lampoon those who
inflict it on the young.
"Those evenings were fun, the jokes were silly and the bounds of good taste
served as neither floors nor ceilings. One year our class put together a
parody of that
famous Judy Garland movie The Wizard of Oz.
"While it was fairly obvious that the great and powerful Oz could be none
other than
Paul Samuelson, there was understandably enormous hesitation among my
classmates to actually play the Paul Samuelson role. Memory fails me to tell
you whether Paul Krugman volunteered or was drafted by the rest of us to play
the great and powerful Oz. I report to you today, well over twenty years after
the fact, it was a most credible performance. I vividly recall Paul Krugman
accurately capturing Paul Samuelson’s distinctive walk, more of a shuffle. One
wonders if Paul Samuelson was able that night to catch a glimpse of the future
Krugman behind the bow-tie of that Samuelson impersonator before him. My
advice to you Paul Krugman: if the shoe fits, shuffle."
Advice taken, to be sure.
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 9:34 PM |
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THAT'S RICH
More anti-Bush shock and awe from the New York Times --
as the "newspaper of record" calls up all its reservists, using every possible
section of the newspaper to attack the President. Even disabled veteran Frank
Rich -- the one-time Times theatre critic who was given a desk job in
January after a six-year stint as a political commentator on the op-ed page --
has been called into service.
Richs's lead
story in today's "Style & Leisure" section is a lengthy comparison of
President Bush's supposed manipulation of the Washington Press corps to
manipulation by the fictional character Billy Flynn, the unscrupulous
lawyer played by Richard Gere in the film Chicago. No light is
shed either on the film or on political affairs by drawing this parallel -- it's
just an excuse for moving bald-faced political opinion from the op-ed page to
the news pages. Try these quotes on for size:
"The former Andover cheerleader had failed to convince America's friends to
come aboard. The economy was tanking. But the journalists at hand were so
limply deferential to the president's boilerplate script...
"One reporter, April Ryan of American Urban Radio Networks, asked, 'Mr.
President, as the nation is at odds over war, how is your faith guiding you?'
— a God-given cue for Mr. Bush to once more cloak his moral arrogance in the
verbal vestments of humble religiosity...
"As he knew — and said, in his one moment of truth that night — the entire
show was 'scripted.' It has been from the start."
"Failed to convince America's friends" -- "moral arrogance" -- "one moment of
truth" -- not something you normally see in a movie review, is it? Well, as
Howell Raines
said
of Rich in January announcing his departure from op-ed, "...I'm delighted to
welcome him back to the news pages."
Posted by Donald L. Luskin at 2:31 PM |
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